Data updated through all games played on: 4/04/16. Notes: The Win Prob. percentage represents the simulated probability that the team will win the matchup, while the Cover Prob. percentage represents the simulated probability that the team will cover the user-provided spread. These figures are based on 50,000 simulations. The results bar illustrates the Win Probabilities Continue Reading
College Basketball Rankings
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Here are the probabilities for each team to advance to each designated round and win the entire tournament.
Below are each team’s probability of reaching each round in the 2015 NCAA Tournament based on our calculations. As most estimations show, Kentucky is the clear favorite to win, with three other teams having realistic chances: Villanova, Arizona and Wisconsin. Each region’s probability of containing the next national champion are as follows (totals don’t add Continue Reading
Here are updated probabilities for each team in the Sweet 16 advancing to each round and winning the tournament. Here are the probabilities for each team to advance to each designated round and win the entire tournament.
Why this was done: After reviewing the original ranking model, it was determined that there was a portion of a team’s performance that was being unintentionally excluded from the calculation. The original MCBR was built to rank a team based on the outcome of the game, the quality of the opponent and the location of Continue Reading
While no one person is responsible for deciding which college basketball team plays in which conference, we still have a fun game you can play wherein you pretend you’re in charge of the whole thing. All you need is a can of alphabet soup and a can opener. First, open the can of soup. Second, Continue Reading